Monday, November 27, 2006

What's In a Name:

NBC has made the headlines it intended to make with its decision to start calling the conflict in Iraq a civil war. This is one of those media events that is essentially meaningless. Like pointing out that the war in Iraq has now lasted longer than World War II. Like making headlines out of the war dead in increments of 500.

NBC's online report on its watershed decision rather lamely avoids getting seriously into definitions or any discussion of its decision in this matter.

As the AP coverage of the big event points out, some definitions of "civil war" could have been applied a long time ago. More than 1,000 dead in civil strife between political or geographic factions being at the lower end of the spectrum.

More conservatively, AP cites GlobalSecurity.org's five criteria: "The contestants must control territory, have a functioning government, enjoy some foreign recognition, have identifiable regular armed forces and engage in major military operations." Those criteria have only marginally been met by the Mahdi Army, if at all. Its forces remain irregular, have not managed any sustained military operations, and while it controls some elements of the population, lacks cohesive control of territory. It is supported by a foreign nation, but has no recognition as a government.

But in applying a label like "civil war," the shades of definition are actually irrelevant. Just like making headlines out of the KIA count and the comparative lengths of wars, calling Iraq a civil war has a purpose independent of its descriptive qualities. That is its suggestive quality.

Vietnam is now also called a civil war by those who believe we had no business there. NBC's unilateral declaration of Iraq as a civil war follows from, and is intended to support the idea that we don't belong there.

In the case of Iraq as in Vietnam, the label "civil war" ignores key factors and ramifications.

What happens in Iraq is being determined in large part by external, non-Iraqi players. Iran. Syria. Al-Qaeda. The United States. Saudi Arabia.

What happens in Iraq will have a tremendous affect on the regional power of Iran, Syria and Saudi Arabia, and on the global power of the United States and al-Qaeda. Indirectly it will have an affect on the power of China, as our power and credibility are diminished. Indirectly it will have an effect on the futures of third nations such as Lebanon, Israel and Afghanistan.

The war for Iraq is not only about the future of Iraq, but about the future of the Middle East, the security of the United States, the future of the United States as a world power, and the future of the values our nation represents in the world.

In this context, Iraq transcends civil war. It is, as was Vietnam, in significant parts a proxy war on which the world order for decades to come may very well hinge.

A "proxy war" is not a very sexy term. A "proxy war" against terrorist-supporting nations is one we can't walk away from.

You're not going to see IRAQ: THE PROXY WAR on an NBC banner any time soon.

But with both the Los Angeles Times and NBC calling it a civil war, you will very soon see the New York Times, the Associated Press and nearly every other media organization in the United States fall in line.


Update:
APopovich in comments says...
"Looks like Time magazine has already jumped on that one over the weekend:" He proceeds to cite chapter and verse on the latest civil war buffs. Visit APopovich over at
Tao of Defiance while you're at it. Great Oz site.
As long as we're media-bashing, Anchoress rounds up (the latest) APgate. Follow links to Flopping Aces, Dan Riehl, Protein Wisdom and others.

3 comments:

APopovich said...

Looks like Time magazine has already jumped on that one over the weekend:

Over the last weekend:

"It is the atrocities he is suspected of perpetrating against Sunnis that have earned him notoriety and helped plunge Iraq into civil war."
The Face of Brutality
By APARISIM GHOSH / BAGHDAD
http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1562970,00.html
Posted Sunday, Nov. 26, 2006
(From the Dec. 4, 2006 issue of TIME magazine)

Apparently it happened for Mr Ghosh in the course of Sunday:

The Latest Violence Shows Iraqis Aren't Up to the Job
By APARISIM GHOSH/BAGHDAD
"The plan brought more than 7,200 additional U.S. troops into the Iraqi capital, but it has failed to slow the sectarian killings and kidnappings that are threatening to drag Iraq into a civil war."
http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,1562998,00.html
Posted Sunday, Nov. 26, 2006

And two more mentions of descending and sliding into civil war over the weekend:

Inside an Iraqi Battleground Neighborhood
By MARK KUKIS/BAGHDAD
"As Iraq descends into a full-scale civil war, the face of the country is changing forever."
http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,1562900,00.html
Posted Saturday, Nov. 25, 2006


Mr. Gates' Options
With Iraq sliding into civil war, TIME looks at the tough choices facing the Pentagon's new man--and why finding a way out may require him to send more troops in
By MICHAEL DUFFY
http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1562949,00.html
Posted Sunday, Nov. 26, 2006
(From the Dec. 4, 2006 issue of TIME magazine)

I was just noticing this yesterday.

APopovich said...

I was going to say that Andrew Sullivan skipped straight to saying its worse that civil war:
"More Chaotic than Civil War"
http://time.blogs.com/daily_dish/2006/11/more_chaotic_th.html

with his quote from Washington Post' Anthony Shadid, from the Sunday edition:
http://freeinternetpress.com/story.php?sid=9053
which also already calls it a civil war..

then I noticed this Maureen Down column, which quotes Shadid's:
"Maureen Dowd: With Iraq in civil war, question is who gets control"
http://www.pasadenastarnews.com/opinions/ci_4730139
(diff title from original:
http://select.nytimes.com/gst/tsc.html?URI=http://select.nytimes.com/2006/11/25/opinion/25dowd.html&OQ=_rQ3D1&OP=1d5fa43Q2FxFmfx9oQ20aa9xrQ27Q27Q5Bx..xrhxaQ51bJbaJxrhQ5EaFQ5EPQ7E9sB

But then I looked at the Washington Post and there's:

"It's a Civil War, Stupid"
By Dan Froomkin
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/blog/2006/11/27/BL2006112700491.html
where he points out who else is calling it a civil war..

meanwhile the top story on Washington Post site:

Civil War in Iraq Near, Annan Says
Study Group Begins Two-Day Meeting
By Robin Wright and Thomas E. Ricks
Washington Post Staff Writers
Tuesday, November 28, 2006; Page A01
http://www.washingtonpost.com

Robert Schwartz said...

What policy conclusions can we draw from labeling the iraq war a civil war? None, I submit. Further the term obscures the deep involvement of Iran and Syria in the whole affair.

Typical of the useless garbage that the MSM pollutes the airwaves with.